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MoneyGrow Reflections

our monthly note.

Every month we share what we’re seeing across portfolios, sectors, and the broader market. The full archive is below.

2026

9 letters

SEP

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

September 2026

What caught our eye in September 2026: the themes shaping our fundamentals-first, long-term approach to Indian equities.

AUG

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

August 2026

Corporate earnings have started FY27 strongly, supported by resilient demand, healthy credit growth and reasonable valuations. Macro risks and the sustainability of the AI capex cycle remain key overhangs, making India a selective stock-picking market.

JUL

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

July 2026

Easing geopolitical tensions, lower oil prices and RBI measures are improving India’s macro outlook, liquidity and currency stability. With credit growth accelerating and FII outflows easing, improving corporate capex and earnings support a bullish outlook for FY27.

JUN

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

June 2026

Domestic-focused businesses delivered resilient Q4 earnings, supported by strong consumer demand and credit growth despite geopolitical pressures. With global headwinds and AI risks persisting, we favour a bottom-up, domestic-led approach and see an opportunity to rebalance and accumulate.

MAY

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

May 2026

Geopolitical tensions and surging crude prices are driving extreme market volatility and record FII outflows, though India’s fundamentals remain resilient. With valuations becoming more attractive and earnings holding up, investors can use the volatility to systematically accumulate quality investments.

APR

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

April 2026

The US-Iran war is driving significant market and economic risks, with prolonged conflict threatening oil supplies, inflation, growth and the rupee. While a short-lived conflict could create a temporary correction and opportunity, long-term investors should stay patient and use volatility to systematically accumulate.

MAR

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

March 2026

Despite near-term risks from the Iran conflict, India’s macro backdrop and corporate earnings point to a potential recovery in CY26. AI disruption, tariffs and rich valuations remain key risks, but improving consumption and exports support a constructive long-term outlook.

FEB

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

February 2026

India’s US and EU trade deals, supportive policy measures and improving earnings are strengthening the outlook for growth and equities in CY26. Favourable valuations, accelerating credit growth and strong domestic flows could support a broader market turnaround and renewed FPI interest.

JAN

2026

MoneyGrow Reflections

January 2026

Indian equities end a turbulent 2025 with muted returns, but improving earnings, consumption and domestic capex point to a healthier CY26 outlook. With risks balanced, we favour a disciplined, bottom-up approach focused on domestic capex and commodity cycles at reasonable valuations.

2025

11 letters

DEC

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

December 2025

GST and income-tax cuts, lower interest rates and strong corporate balance sheets are creating a favourable environment for India’s domestic consumption and capex cycle. While US tariff uncertainty and global risks remain, India’s resilient domestic growth outlook supports a constructive, bottom-up investment approach.

NOV

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

November 2025

Indian equities are gaining momentum, supported by easing inflation, strong domestic capex, improving credit growth and expectations of trade and policy support. With global conditions turning favourable, we remain constructive on domestic-focused businesses while closely monitoring earnings and geopolitical risks.

OCT

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

October 2025

Global uncertainty is driving a shift toward gold and defensive assets, but India’s growth outlook remains supported by pro-growth RBI measures and resilient domestic demand. Manufacturing, services and credit growth offer long-term opportunities, while tariffs, geopolitics and IT-sector risks remain key near-term headwinds.

SEP

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

September 2025

GST cuts should boost domestic consumption and benefit staples, autos and other consumer sectors, cushioning global tariff risks. Despite mixed earnings and slower growth expectations, strong DII inflows, rural recovery and policy support keep India’s medium-term outlook constructive.

AUG

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

August 2025

US tariffs may drive near-term volatility and pressure exports, but India’s resilient domestic economy and manufacturing-led growth remain supportive. Despite muted earnings and global headwinds, strong domestic flows and the long-term structural growth story reinforce our constructive outlook.

JUL

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

July 2025

Despite geopolitical uncertainty, markets have remained resilient, reinforcing the case for staying invested and dynamically managing portfolios through volatility. India’s emerging corporate credit cycle, supportive policies and improving macro conditions strengthen the long-term growth outlook.

JUN

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

June 2025

Q4 FY25 earnings highlight strong momentum in cyclical and capital-intensive sectors, supported by record government capex and improving liquidity. With robust GDP growth, easing inflation and a favourable monsoon outlook, we remain constructive on domestic demand-led opportunities.

MAY

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

May 2025

India-Pakistan tensions have risen after the Pahalgam attack, but a full-scale war remains unlikely; India is expected to use diplomatic, economic, and limited military measures. Amid global instability, India remains relatively well positioned, so the investment strategy favors domestically driven, reasonably valued companies and staying invested for long-term returns.

APR

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

April 2025

US tariffs have intensified global uncertainty, but India remains relatively resilient due to strong domestic demand, IT and pharma. Near-term volatility may persist; focus remains on fundamentally strong, reasonably valued stocks and long-term opportunities in infrastructure and related sectors.

MAR

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

March 2025

March 2025 reflections — how we're reading markets and positioning portfolios for the long compounder.

JAN

2025

MoneyGrow Reflections

January 2025

Our monthly note for January 2025 — reflections on what we're seeing across portfolios, sectors and the broader market.

2024

10 letters

DEC

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

December 2024

What caught our eye in December 2024: the themes shaping our fundamentals-first, long-term approach to Indian equities.

NOV

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

November 2024

Notes from November 2024 on the businesses we own, where we're staying patient, and the opportunities we're watching.

SEP

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

September 2024

September 2024 reflections — how we're reading markets and positioning portfolios for the long compounder.

JUL

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

July 2024

Our monthly note for July 2024 — reflections on what we're seeing across portfolios, sectors and the broader market.

JUN

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

June 2024

What caught our eye in June 2024: the themes shaping our fundamentals-first, long-term approach to Indian equities.

MAY

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

May 2024

Notes from May 2024 on the businesses we own, where we're staying patient, and the opportunities we're watching.

APR

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

April 2024

April 2024 reflections — how we're reading markets and positioning portfolios for the long compounder.

MAR

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

March 2024

Our monthly note for March 2024 — reflections on what we're seeing across portfolios, sectors and the broader market.

FEB

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

February 2024

What caught our eye in February 2024: the themes shaping our fundamentals-first, long-term approach to Indian equities.

JAN

2024

MoneyGrow Reflections

January 2024

Notes from January 2024 on the businesses we own, where we're staying patient, and the opportunities we're watching.

2023

7 letters

DEC

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

December 2023

December 2023 reflections — how we're reading markets and positioning portfolios for the long compounder.

NOV

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

November 2023

Our monthly note for November 2023 — reflections on what we're seeing across portfolios, sectors and the broader market.

OCT

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

October 2023

What caught our eye in October 2023: the themes shaping our fundamentals-first, long-term approach to Indian equities.

SEP

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

September 2023

Notes from September 2023 on the businesses we own, where we're staying patient, and the opportunities we're watching.

SEP

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

September 2023

September 2023 reflections — how we're reading markets and positioning portfolios for the long compounder.

AUG

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

August 2023

Our monthly note for August 2023 — reflections on what we're seeing across portfolios, sectors and the broader market.

JUL

2023

MoneyGrow Reflections

July 2023

What caught our eye in July 2023: the themes shaping our fundamentals-first, long-term approach to Indian equities.

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